Kent State
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 64.2403Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Merrimack 21-17 906 A Texas Tech B12 (12- 2, 96.3) 14-62 913 H Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.3) 28-31 920 A Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 79.5) 10-66 1004 A Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 0-44 1011 H UMass IND ( 0-12, 48.7) 42- 6 1018 A Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 10-45 1025 H Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 24-21 1105 A Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 10-17 1111 A Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 42-35 1119 H Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 16-28 1128 A No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 35-31
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Texas Tech 14-62 -48 -37 0.00
913 H Buffalo 28-31 -3 5 --- -8.18
920 A Florida St 10-66 -56 -21 0.00
1004 A Oklahoma 0-44 -44 -28 0.00
1011 H UMass 42- 6 36 21 0.00
1018 A Toledo 10-45 -35 -21 0.00
1025 H Bowl. Green 24-21 3 6 - -2.54
1105 A Ball St 10-17 -7 -6 -0.90
1111 A Akron 42-35 7 -4 +++ 10.95
1119 H Cen Michigan 16-28 -12 -3 --- -8.89
1128 A No Illinois 35-31 4 -6 +++ 9.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Buffalo 28-31 -3 5 --- -8.18 1119 H Cen Michigan 16-28 -12 -3 --- -8.89 1025 H Bowl. Green 24-21 3 6 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A Akron 42-35 7 -4 +++ 10.95 1128 A No Illinois 35-31 4 -6 +++ 9.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas Tech (12- 2, 96.3) 14-62 -3.57 47.65 5.26 1.16 -0.98
3 H Buffalo ( 5- 7, 64.3) 28-31 -35.58 15.64 -5.26 1.16 -23.67
3 A Florida St ( 5- 7, 79.5) 10-66 -20.41 30.81 5.26 1.16 -8.78
3 A Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 0-44 -12.56 38.66 5.26 1.16 -4.23
3 H UMass ( 0-12, 48.7) 42- 6 -51.22 1.00 -5.26 1.16 -9.87
3 A Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 10-45 -19.94 31.28 5.26 1.16 -8.51
3 H Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 24-21 -35.94 15.28 -5.26 1.16 23.23
3 A Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 10-17 -34.82 16.40 5.26 1.16 -17.13
3 A Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 42-35 -36.97 14.25 5.26 1.16 45.22
3 H Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 16-28 -27.29 23.93 -5.26 1.16 -18.86
3 A No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 35-31 -35.36 15.86 5.26 1.16 48.96
------
25.38
|
winning pts = 107.5394 losing points = -82.1568
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------